Sunday, September 9, 2007

Online Forex Trading The Main Reasons Traders Lose

Online forex trading is often promoted as a way to get rich quick and that it can be easily.

While it can be done and is one of the most financially rewarding ventures you can do for the effort, you need to know where to put your effort.

Its a fact that in online forex trading most traders have no idea how to really make money and lose and here are the basic mistakes they make.

1. You can buy success from someone else

They buy an e-book for under $100 and expect it to make them rich.

These people are greedy, ignorant or fools or maybe all three.

There is some good advice out there (and our other articles explain this) but dont expect anyone else to make you rich, the final judgment on trades is yours and you need to accept responsibility.

2. The myth of short term trading

Most new traders want to day trade or intra day and this group are simply guaranteed to lose.

Short term trading doesnt work.

No one can calculate daily moves their random and all you do is have a huge amount of small losses and marginal profits that destroy your account equity over time.

Ever seen a short trader with long term track record of consistent real time gains?

I havent and you wont find one either.

3. Not understanding volatility and risk

Most traders have no concept of volatility and market timing to take advantage of it.

They end up entering trades when risk is high and placing stops that have high odds of getting them stopped out.

Learn about standard deviation of price and make sure you understand it.

4. Buying low and selling high

Most traders focus on buying low and selling high. This is destined to wipe them out.

Why?

Because they should wait for confirmation and buy high sell higher

Not enough room to explain this in depth here, look up breakouts on the net and see for yourself, most major trending moves start from new market highs.

5. Changing systems

Traders constantly change systems or methods.

This is normally because they dont have one they understand and have confidence in, in the first place.

All systems lose at some point, but you need to stick with it if its logic is soundly based.

If you have confidence in it you will have the major trait all successful currency traders have.

6. Discipline

Many traders have a system but they dont have the discipline to execute the signals as they should and these people may as well not have a system at all.

Some positive advice

Dont make the above mistakes when you approach online forex trading.

Accept responsibility (even if you follow someone else) make sure you understand and have confidence in your system, so you can apply it with discipline.

Never day trade look for long term trends then:

Use a breakout methodology with just a few confirming indicators and understand volatility so you can place stops and targets to allow you to run the big profitable trends.

MORE FREE BETTER TRADING INFO

On all aspects of becoming a profitable trader including features, articles and FREE FOREX trading PDF'S visit our website at http://www.net-planet.org/index.html

Exploding The Cash Is Trash Myth

So, in May 1989, with the Australian share market in the depths of a bear market, and real estate has just crashed, where do you put your money? Obviously in Japan (if you belong to the Flat Earth Society, as most do, and you know nothing about the underlying mood insight of the socioeconomist).

Okay, so let's you and I invest $1,000 each in May 1989. You put yours into Japanese shares (buy the Nikkei index at 34,000) and I'll put mine in the bank. Let's assume that you have taken the advice of your broker or adviser to "buy and hold for the long term. Even if the share market falls, it will always rise to a new high in the long term."

Let's say that over the next 18 years, to May 2007, I earn 6% per annum interest. (Note that the cash rate in Australia was 18% in 1989, but I want to be generous here). Dividend yields on Japanese shares are notoriously low, and I am probably being overly generous again (by about 50%), but let's assume you earn 1% per annum in dividends on your Japanese shares. And let's say you hold your shares right through until now. That is, when the Nikkei fell below 8,000 points in 2003 you didn't sell in panic, because "shares will always rise in the long term." Let's say the Nikkei is 17,000 points today. We'll ignore tax and inflation for the purpose of this exercise (if only we could).

How do we compare? My $1,000 is today worth $2,854 with compounding interest. How did you fare?

Your shares are worth $500, but you have earned $321 in dividends, which I have compounded for the sake of the exercise.

So I put my money in the bank and made 185% profit in 18 years. You put yours into the equivalent of today's Australian share market and lost 18% in the same period. Are you still sure you want to rush back into the share market? Are you sure that cash in the bank is such a bad investment? Are you going to keep listening to the "cash is trash" merchants who are simply talking their book (vested interests)? Or will you use your neo-cortex to override your emotion?

I rest my case. Just because all the "experts" say "cash is trash" does not mean that it is. It depends what you invest. There will be a time when the share market will be a fantastic investment. At that time I will be recommending it "with my ears pinned back." Yet at that time nobody will want to touch shares. Shares will be a dirty word. Aren't humans funny creatures?

http://grahamdyer.com The Graham Dyer Newsletter has not missed a month's publication since July 1983. His track record for forecasting is the envy of many, including the 1987 stock market crash, the demise of the Japanese economy and stock and real estate markets in the 1990s, the bull market for bonds from 1989, and the real estate boom this decade. His book is entitled: How to Profit from the Coming Great Depression. If you want to know the pitfalls of investing as well as the opportunities, Graham Dyers world class work is a must read. For more of Graham's work you can visit http://grahamdyer.com

Saturday, September 8, 2007

Chinese Market Crumbles in Massive Meltdown and Mangling of Market

The largest drop in the Chinese Stock Market has occurred as the market crumbled in a horrific and devastating meltdown. Former Federal Chairman Alan Greenspan warned about this a couple of weeks ago and still no one listened. The Shanghai Composite Index has been slammed into submission. It is a wonder how people actually believed that it would never go down and continue to climb forever.

Indeed this irrational hopefulness is always a sign of a market top. Increased regulations to control the gambling casino came too late and the triple taxing trick of Chinese regulators to try to bring some reality into play did not work. A 20% drop in one-week was predicted was about what the Online Think Tank predicted and believe we shall see another minimum of 4% dip.

This major correction has not affected any other World Stock Markets. Taking 25% out of a stock market is a major killer for any market and it was advised and known that this was coming, still few listened and yet today they are quite about less well off on paper. Some, say this is a buying opportunity, but is it really?

Billions of dollars has fled the Chinese market to other safer stock markets; US markets, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, UAE and Japan. China as the best place for capital will no longer be seen as a safe 10% year-over-year bet. But for those who study these things and follow World markets, should not be the least bit surprised, we certainly are not.

Remember that the average Chinese stock on the Shanghai composite is selling at 60 times PE where on the US Stock Market S & P they are trading at an average of 17 times PE. So the long-term outlook if China does not keep up her growth is an even further melt down. Imagine how far it might continue to fall using those statistics? Ouch.

L. Winslow is an Economic Advisor to the Online Think Tank, a Futurist and retired entreprenuer http://www.worldthinktank.net

Currently he is planning a bicycle ride across the US to raise money for charity and is sponsored by http://www.Calling-Plans.com and all the proceeds will go to various charities who sign up.

Friday, September 7, 2007

Stock Market Newsletters - Written By Hucksters Or Are Some Really Worth The Price?

My honest opinion is that none are worth the price, and some are indeed hucksters. Think about this with the advent of the Internet, absolutely anybody can publish an investment letter. The cost to publish it is tiny if you can put up your own website and send your own email one subscriber and youre in the black! No one regulates or oversees such folks all they do is publish their opinions through the Internet, and you pay perhaps $150 a year for the privilege of getting their emails. There are no guarantees that they are the smartest guys in the room, and who knows what kind of research they actually do (Look, I do a BLOG on my website, and thats effectively the same as doing a newsletter. The difference is that Im just not charging you anything to see it).

One of the big dangers is that many newsletter writers have monetary ties to the companies they recommend, which you do not hear about. This leads to serious conflicts of interest, and there is virtually no means to find out about it.

For whatever reason (I think because 1. Its the fad, and 2) Its easier) most stock investment letter writers today are chartists of one flavor or another. Well, as the one of the last of the Mohicans when it comes to believing that fundamental forces move the market, let me tell you a big secret among stock commentary letter writers: All the forms of chart reading, from Elliot wave charting to whatever flavor you choose, are simply and purely horse manure. There is simply no scientific support for them. Like palm reading, tarot cards and astrology, chart reading is highly subjective and open to the interpretation of the reader. One need only look to an assortment of Elliot wave experts and see that one looks at the chart of a certain stock and sees it will be heading upward in the future, while another views the same chart and foresees the stock heading downward. Most chart interpretation is based on patterns of squiggles in the chart lines, but how a chart appears is heavily dependent on the parameters of how you draw it. Seeing various head and shoulder or cup and saucer patterns are very much like Rorschach inkblot tests you project your thoughts and feelings onto the meaningless inkblot. Making decisions based on chart squiggles - Yikes!

The prices of stocks and commodities yoyo up and down with a general long-term trend in an upward direction, and it always has been so. Just because a stock or commodity price moves up for a week doesn't mean it will move upward for the next three months. Just because a stock or commodity price moves down for a week doesn't mean it will move downward ward for the next three months. In the same way, just because it was warm in New York for a week in January, it doesnt mean winter is forever banished. Just because we have a couple bad hurricane seasons back to back doesnt not mean all such seasons will be bad from now on (Just ask the morons that used to work at Amaranth - and the poor fools who had their money invested there). What a short memory we all seem to have!

So the next time your letter writer says Its the end of the world! The markets are going down to nothing Just wait and dont get too excited. It wont be long until another letter writer will proclaim Its a moon shot, the markets are going through the roof straight to the moon! Dont get too excited over that either....... The market goes down and everyone gets worried the market will implode. But after a few weeks of solid gains, the worry dries up and the market get overbought. What happened to all that worry?

Theres going to be loads of fast steep drops and sharp jumps in the stock markets, gold and silver from here on out, you can bet on it. These shakeouts are necessary to get weak players out of the market.

I think anyone who studies the fundamental facts and charts can do as well as some over paid letter writer. Most well paid stock market letter writers do not out perform the market, nor do they out perform the stock picks of monkeys armed with darts. I highly doubt those who track commodities or currencies do any better. There are studies done concerning the Hedge Fund operators, the most over paid by market advisors far, showing that they also, do not, as a whole, outperform the market. So why do some folks pay good money for newsletters, mutual fund managers and Hedge fund operators when scientific study shows they are no better in the long run than market indexes? I dont know there is simply no rational reason.

Personally, I think you might as well flush your cash down a toilet as invest in newsletters. You'd be much better off to just buy some gold or silver with the money. Or even better yet, grab a pen, develop a talent for writing BS, and then start your own newsletter, charge other people money and invest the cash you make in stocks or precious metals.

If you feel you just must read some of these newsletters to get ideas there are a number of free sites on the Internet like my BLOG. In addition, a good number of investment letter writers do still publish a printed version of their work, and many libraries still subscribe and you may be able to view them at your local library. There are plenty of free sources to get ideas.

Chris is an independent investor and his market comments can be viewed at: http://nevada-outback-gems.com/gold_invest/Investing_Gold.htm

Chris BLOG on investing in gold, silver, and stocks can be found at: http://nevada-outback-gems.com/blog_invest/Investing_blog.htm

Chris Ralph writes on small scale mining and prospecting for the ICMJ Mining Journal. He is an independent investor and writes on that topic as well. He has a degree in Mining Engineering from the Mackay School of Mines in Reno, and has worked for precious metal mining companies conducting both surface and underground operations. After working in the mining industry, he has continued his interest in mining as an individual prospector. He can be reached at P.O. Box 3104 Reno, Nevada 89505. His information page on prospecting for gold can be viewed at: http://nevada-outback-gems.com/prospect/chris_prospect.htm

Stock Research - Hedge Funds - If Bear Stearns Doesn't Know - Who Knows?

As the hedge fund world becomes bigger and bigger as more and more hot money seeks the elusive alpha of maximum performance, it is becoming apparent that more and more newspaper space will be devoted to hedge funds, and private equity. Recent news has taken us into the inner sanctum of Bear Stearns, truly a dominant investment firm in the world today. It might be argued that Bear Stearns is the best managed Wall Street firm in existence. Some might say Goldman Sachs. In any event Bear Stearns would have to be on the short list.

Investment firms for almost a decade sat by and watched hedge funds form, and amass vast investment capital pools while successfully charging 2% management fees, and 20% of the profits. Some of these hedge funds in a few years, have grown to possess capital bases equal to that of investment banking firms that have been around for generations. Taking some of the risks that were involved to achieve this performance is now coming home to roost.

Bear Stearns is the latest firm to stub its toe in the hedge fund industry. The firm is FAMOUS for quantifying and judging RISK before making its bets. This time however it seems that Bear Stearns threw its usual caution to the wind in embracing the formation of two hedge funds over the last year or so.

The second hedge fund was considered a more highly-leveraged version of Bears High Grade structured Credit Strategies fund which was formed last year. Both funds were managed by Ralph Cioffi, who up until recent events took hold, had the reputation of being a MASTER at this game, and the game is the subprime mortgage bond business.

Most people are not aware of it but Bear Stearns is the finest fixed income trading firm on the planet bar none, and this has been true for several generations. This makes recent events even more perplexing to understand.

Jimmy Cayne who is Bears CEO is embarrassed at the very least, and certainly upset enough that there will be major changes in the leadership of the units responsible for the pain being inflected on the firms reputation. This should not have happened at Bear Stearns, thats the point.

Actions Taken and Implications

Mr. Cayne has made the decision to inject $3.2 billion of Bear Stearns capital into a bail-out of the older fund. Bear is also negotiating with the banks that put up the credit facility for the other fund, the highly leveraged High-Grade Enhanced Leveraged fund. What Bear is trying to prevent is the forced sale of the debt obligations underlying the funds investments. These issues trade by appointment as they say, which means they rarely trade at all. Bear knows the Street smells blood, and will take advantage of any weakness that Bear shows.

So what are the implications of this latest hedge fund debacle? It clearly shows that the most sophisticated investors on the planet who put their money into hedge funds may in fact have NO IDEA what they are investing in. Instead, they are betting on the institutional reputation of the firms standing in back of the hedge funds. In this case nobody knew more about this market segment than Bear Stearns, yet they caught in a terrible position.

This is not Caynes fault, but as CEO, it is always his responsibility. I believe him to be the finest Wall Street executive of his generation. Nevertheless, his underlings certainly let him down, and they are among the highest paid people in the world today. Some of these industry veterans are drawing $10 million dollar annual incomes. Let the investor beware is the rule of the day, especially when it comes to hedge funds.

Richard Stoyecks background includes being a limited partner at Bear Stearns, Senior VP at Lehman Brothers, Kuhn Loeb, Arthur Andersen, and KPMG. Educated at Pace University, NYU, and Harvard University, today he runs Rockefeller Capital Partners and StocksAtBottom.com/. for a fuller version of this article please visit our website. http://www.stocksatbottom.com/bear_stearns_hedge_funds.html

How to Pay Sales Tax in QuickBooks - The Right Way and The Wrong Way

The Sales Tax function in QuickBooks is a separate module from the rest of the program, even though it doesn't seem like it. Because it is a separate module, sales tax payments should be made according to how the module works.

The Wrong Way

The unsuspecting QuickBooks user computes the sales tax return. Then, he/she generates a regular check in QuickBooks (a regular check is always designated CHK in the register). Perhaps this check is even correctly posted to the Sales Tax Liability account. Regardless of which account it is posted to, using a regular check to pay sales taxes is not how QuickBooks was designed. Unfortunately, QuickBooks allows this transaction to occur.

The Right Way

1. Compute the sales tax return. Then, adjust the QuickBooks tax payment for rounding differences, if necessary.

In California, the BOE-401 requires every line to be rounded to the nearest dollar. This will create a small difference in the amount of sales tax owed on the return, verses the amount of sales tax owed according to QuickBooks.

In order to adjust for the difference, and if you are certain you are ready to record the payment in QuickBooks, from the Vendors menu select Sales Tax. Then select Pay Sales Tax. Click the button that says Adjust. Make the Adjustment Date the same as the final day of the tax reporting period. Put an Entry Number if you wish. In the Sales Tax Vendor box, select the sales tax reporting agency. For the Adjustment Account, select an expense account called Sales Tax Adjustments (create it if you don't already have one). Then, select the appropriate circle, depending if you are increasing or reducing the amount of sales tax to pay in QuickBooks. Fill in the correct amount of the adjustment. Record a memo if you wish. Click Ok.

2. Generate a Tax Payment check.

At the Pay Sales Tax window, click the taxes you are paying, as well as the adjustment you just made. Make sure the all of the other information is correct, particularly the Pay Sales Tax Through box - this must have the same date as the final reporting date on the sales tax return. Save the transaction.

The check you just generated appears now in the check register that you selected in the Pay Sales Tax window. Go and look for it there. You will see it as a unique type: TAXPMT, rather than CHK or BILLPMT.

Final Thoughts

Here's why QuickBooks users should pay sales tax utilizing the correct method:

  • QuickBooks generates Tax Payment checks (TAXPMT) rather than regular checks.
  • QuickBooks users can perform specific searches for these types of checks.
  • QuickBooks can compute the tax amount - this can then be used as a guide to make sure the sales tax return was prepared correctly.

About the Author: Jennifer A. Thieme is a Registered Tax Preparer and a Certified QuickBooks ProAdvisor who enjoys writing about tax and accounting issues. She brings unique insight, clear instructions, and over ten years experience to all of her business articles. Owner of Solid Rock Accounting Services, Jennifer's clients enjoy these same benefits on a personal and regular basis. You can too - visit http://www.jenniferthieme.com and contact Jennifer today.

Thursday, September 6, 2007

How to Invest in Chinese Currency RMB in Singapore?

The rise of China has led to many people wanted to invest in the Chinese currency RMB as they think that with the economic growth of China, the RMB will continue to rise, especially RMB is currently undervalue against other currencies.

The problem with investing in the RMB is that there is no foreign currency deposit in RMB for investors to deposit in. So how does one play the RMB currency in Singapore? This question was posted to me a few times.

As the RMB is not a free currency that has offshore market, it is virtually not possible to buy RMB outside China.

One way to play it is to invest in the Chinese stock market. This is not a direct play, however, as the value of the Chinese stocks are influenced by other factors which may not be the same as those factors that affects the currency. Nevertheless, if the general growth for the country continues, the equity market should continue to perform well, so will the currency. A word of caution, as the Chinese equity market has run up much more than the currency, if there is a correction in the Chinese market, the lost on the equity investment may be more than the currency depreciation.

The other way is to open a RMB account with a bank in Hong Kong, as Hong Kong is allowed to take in RMB deposit. However, this route is impractical for many people. Furthermore, it is unclear if non Hong Kong resident can open a RMB deposit account.

The last method, which to me is the purest play on the RMB, is going through the futures market. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has a USD/RMB futures contract. Therefore if one is bullish on the RMB, one should short the USD/RMB futures contract. This is not for the faint hearted. Furthermore, futures contract has expiry date whereby one needs to rollover the contract if he still wants to continue to have the exposure, unlike fixed deposit whereby the bank can rollover automatically for you. However, the futures contract does provide a cheap and efficient way of having an exposure in foreign currencies, much more efficient than the fixed deposit market.

I am currently an Investment Manager with a private equity firm, and a holder of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) qualification.

http://moneyandsenses.blogspot.com

Forex Currency Trading- How to Get Started

There are several things to consider before getting started in forex currency trading. Initially, you'll need to select a broker that is right for you in order to facilitate your trades.

Compare Brokers for Better Profitability

The spread generally referred to as the bid/ask spread is what brokers charge instead commission fees. While comparing brokers youll notice that spreads in forex currency trading fluctuate much like in the stock market. Make certain youre receiving the lowest spread available because it means more profit in your pocket.

Use Qualified and Reputable Firms

Forex brokers are typically associated with large banks due to the large amount of capital that is required to operate in the forex market. Make certain the forex brokers youre considering are registered with the Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) as well as regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a registered National Futures Association (NFA) member.

Evaluate Research Support Services

Forex brokers offer various trading platforms for traders like brokers in other markets do. These trading platforms provide real-time charts, technical analysis tools, real-time news and support for various trading systems.

Prior to committing to any one broker use free trials and practice accounts to compare trading platforms and services.

Keep Your Leverage Options Open

Leverage is a ratio of total capital available to actual capital which is the amount of money a broker will lend you for trading. Take for example the ratio of 10:1, this means that your broker will lend you $10 for every $1 of actual trading capital.

Select a Trading Account That Fits Your Budget

Forex trading brokers offer several accounts. The smallest account you can open is the mini account that only requires as little as $300. The standard forex currency trading requires a minimum of $2,000 initial capital to start and gives you an option to trade with a variety of leverages.

A premium account can require $5,000 $10,000 to get started. It offers the same leverage options as the standard as well as additional tools and services. At the end of the day, select the broker that has the right leverage, tools, and services that meet your budget needs as well as your investment goals.

Basic Forex Trading Strategy

Forex trading strategy begins with fundamental and technical analysis. Heres why each analysis is important for creating a solid forex trading strategy:

Fundamental Analysis

Attempting to value company stock is sometimes difficult. But valuing a countrys currency is a different ballgame altogether. Fundamental analysis is mainly used to foresee and better understand long-term trends in the currency market.

The overall political, economic, and social climates of a specific country are the primary issues measured in fundamental analysis.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is widely used to analyze the forex because it identifies and measures sustained trends. Some specific examples of technical analysis used in forex are:

The Elliott Waves
Fibonacci Studies
Japanese Candlesticks
Pivot points

Successful traders use a combination of the above to make more accurate predictions. Others prefer to create trading systems to consistently identify buying and selling opportunities.

Choosing Your Strategy

I recommend a combination of fundamental and technical analysis to develop a personal forex trading strategy. Your strategy will consist of three vital factors; the currency pair you trade, technical indicators for entry/exit plans and risk management.

The most profitable and consistent traders are the ones with the best risk management systems. To trade successfully you have to ask yourself the following questions; how much equity do I need to start? How much should I risk on any one trade? Am I under-capitalized?

Once you have the knowledge of how the forex currency trading works open a demo account and paper trade to practice until you have what it takes to make a consistent profit. Its important to take the time to build, test and implement a sound trading plan before you put capital at risk.

Roosevelt Jones is the publisher of Forex Trading System Reviews and is currently offering free subscriptions to his e-letter about forex trading strategy at http://LearnForexSystemTradingDirectory.com.

Wednesday, September 5, 2007

A More Conservative Approach To Futures Trading - Seasonal Spread Trading

Spread trading is a concept not all that familiar to the average commodity investor. The typical commodity trader analyzes a particular market, either from a technical or a fundamental standpoint, sometimes combining the two; makes a determination as to whether the market exhibits either a bullish or bearish bias, and then wagers by going long a futures contract or purchasing a call option, or by going short a futures contract or buying a put option. There are a number of variations on the theme, but the idea is basically the same.

The following demonstrates the inherent disadvantages in the above two basic scenarios of an outright futures position or the purchase of an option;

1. Size of account. The average investor has a limited bankroll, and can only withstand a certain amount of drawdown associated with any particular trade. The limited size of trading account necessitates the placement of a protective stop order above or below the position. The premature assumption of a position and the inherent volatility associated with commodity markets leaves the position vulnerable to a one or two day move that triggers the stop order, sidelining the trader as the position oftentimes turns back around. As the market moves in the traders favor, the advisability of using trailing stops, adjusting the protective stop in the direction of the trade makes sense in theory, but oftentimes the market will open well above or below the stop order, blowing out the stop and oftentimes taking away a substantial amount, if not all of the profit that was being locked in.

2. Time. In the case of an options purchase, you are basically purchasing time. As the purchaser of an option, the time clock and the calendar become your worst enemy. The value of your option depreciates as you wait for the market to move in your direction. Typically the purchaser of an option witnesses the market go up and down, as the value of his option changes, all along the remaining time value decaying on an accelerated curve as the option expiration day grows nearer.

Spread trading on the other hand, is a way of effectively combating the above two problems. Time no longer is an enemy and volatility, to a certain extent, is effectively neutralized. Margins are substantially reduced due to the relative conservative nature of the hedged trade, which the commodity exchanges themselves recognize. Spread trading has no directional bias. The market can go up or down, the trade is based only the relationship between the long and the short position, i.e.- as long as the long side of your spread outperforms the short side you will be profitable. Spread trades can be in the same commodity with different delivery months (i.e. buy July Lean Hogs and sell December Lean Hogs), or different commodities (i.e. buy March Swiss Franc and sell March Australian Dollar). Generally speaking, both sides of the trade will have the same overall directional bias, as in being both long and short in the Grains (long Corn/short Wheat) , or in the Meats (long Live Cattle/short Feeder Cattle), or in the Metals (long Gold/short Silver). This allows for the built in "hedge".

Seasonal spread trading is another opportunity in taking advantage of this manner of trading. As there also many seasonal tendencies associated with various commodity markets, there are also seasonal tendencies associated with seasonal spread trades. Any spread trade that has been successful say, 80% or better over the past 15 years is certainly a reasonable candidate for exhibiting a seasonal tendency and worth looking into. There are a number of advisory services that offer seasonal spread trade recommendations based on historical analysis, but to altogether ignore the technical set up may result in entering the trade too early, resulting in unnecessarily larger drawdowns, or in entering the trade too late, missing the trade altogether.

Seasonality is a seasonal cycle that forms a similar, reliable pattern every year for many years.

Reliable seasonal tendencies are all around us;

Everyone is familiar with weather seasonality. In the winter months the temperature is colder than in the summer months.

Farmers will plant crops and harvest crops at about the same time every year.

In the summer months, Crude Oil is usually higher than in winter (because people drive cars more in summer).

In the winter months heating oil is usually higher than in the summer (because more people are trying to stay warm in winter).

Any spread trade that has been successful 80% of the time or better over the past 15 years is certainly a possible candidate for exhibiting a seasonal tendency and worth analyzing further. Once the historical average optimal entry and exit dates are determined, it is time to examine the trade on the technical setup. Is the spread overbought or oversold, what are the support and resistance points? Basically does the trade look technically, as well as fundamentally sound? There are a number of advisory services that offer seasonal spread trade recommendations based on historical analysis, but ignoring the technical set up may result in entering the trade too early, resulting in unnecessarily large drawdowns, or in entering too late, missing the trade altogether. Good trading!

Robert Rutger is is a Senior Broker and principle with Transworld Futures (http://www.transworldfutures.com). He has been in the industry for going on 8 years, as a licensed Series 3 Broker, and takes the time with his clients to assist them in being successful in their commodity investment plans.

1-877-843-4519

Trade Stocks

Day Trading

Lets assume you are a new entrant to the day trading. Till now you havent traded stocks or futures except your baseball cards as a kid and that was years ago. As an employee you have slogged really hard and now you are successful in your respective field. However, recently you decided to venture out in trade securities with some of your accumulated savings. The first word of caution to you will be, stay on your toes and play intelligently.

The world of day trading sounds easy and simple. Thanks to the ads on TV. In reality, it isnt an easy task and you have to play safe with open eyes. Being a novice to this field, it will be advisable to go for an online day trading broker. Day trading world is fast paced where stocks, futures, and currencies are speedily bought and sold on the same day. You have to match up this swift speed and also try to have updated information. Many people are still in qualm whether day trading is a positive aspect of trading in the stock market.

Traders have successfully ventured in day trading, will call it a science, which is difficult to master for the average person. Many investors are fascinated to the idea of brisk returns but it involves a high amount of risk that traders may or may not be ready for. For a successful stint in day trading you ought to have knowledge of the fundamentals involved in online day trading. These fundamentals will keep you away from losing money in any part of the stock market. If we talk in a layman terms, day trading is the practice of buying and selling financial instruments, such as stocks, stock options, currencies, equity index futures, interest rate futures, and commodity futures within the same trading day.

In contemporary day trading, majority day traders are bank or investment firms employees working as consultants in equity investment and fund management. Off lately, day trading has become very popular among casual traders too. This is due to rapid advances in technology, changes in legislation, and the popularity of the Internet. Online is the best place for day trading these days, as you dont have to go anywhere and everything can be easily done with a click of your mouse. If you hire the best company in online stock trading you are at a beneficial end. They are the ones who will do all strategy making on your behalf. Majority day traders employ various trends, such as range trading, scalping, and playing news.

Range trading: This range trading is the buying of stocks that are falling. These falling stocks are brought at the lowest price and later they are sold at a higher price.

Scalping: Scalping or also known as spread trading and quick trading, mainly consists of settling a trade within a matter of seconds or minutes.

Playing news: The last one to follow is playing news and it is one of the most popular strategies for day traders. It usually consists of purchasing stocks that offers the investor good returns and selling the ones that wont.

The proven way of emerging winner in day trading is to have extremely up-to-date information. Information can be gathered from various sources such as from an online broker, day trading companies, day trading websites, and many more mention. Day trading involves requisite skills and strategies that can be gained through either by online day trading broker or by contacting www.sogoinvest.com.

SogoInvest is a discount online brokerage stock day trading firm. This product-oriented day trading firm is more towards investor, along with a beginner or an advanced professional. If you are seeking to build a long term and varied portfolio, without using expensive and complicated methods SogoInvest should be your certain destination.

online stock market trading can be an enriching experience when you know how to trade stocks.

Tuesday, September 4, 2007

The Power of Choice - Using Adversity as the Catalyst for Change

None of us will make it through life without committing a series of mistakes or errors in judgment. I know I have made my share. Mistakes are a part of life. I don't mind making them, however I don't want to keep repeating the same ones over and over.

Some of them have been very costly and downright embarrassing.

Let me share with you one of my biggest mistakes, and more importantly, let me share with you the valuable lesson I learned from it.

It was 1997. I had worked my way out of poverty and had grown my business from a $100 investment into a $200,000 a year income.

I had learned how to make money, but had no clue how to manage it.

An acquaintance of mine, we'll call her Joni, mentioned to me that she was buying a lot of shares of a particular stock, with the expectation that it would soon split or triple in price within a few months. She told me she was investing her life savings into buying as much as she could and that I should do the same.

I thought about it, and at the time, I was saving money to buy my mom a new house so I thought, hey if I took the $30,000 I had saved up and bought the stock - and it tripled, that would be $90,000. Great move, right? (Mistake #1)

Well obviously I had never purchased stocks before and I had no idea how to do it. So what did I do?

I heard my UPS guy, (yes, my UPS guy) invested in stocks so I asked him how to buy stocks. He told me to go to XXX broker in town (who shall remain nameless) and open an account. (Mistake #2)

So I went to the broker, whom eagerly helped me open an account and he completed the transaction that bought me $30,000 of this particular stock. (Mistake #3)

Within a few months, the stock had plummeted and went from $30,000 down to $400. That's not a typo, it had gone down to $400.

I was sick about it. I was incredibly disappointed in myself.

I was upset with the other parties who guided me to create that outcome. I had every reason to be angry. I felt cheated. I mean, I later learned the broker broke the law and never should have placed such a large order for a first time client. They are not supposed to allow beginners to take such large risks.

I had every reason to blame everyone else for what had happened.

But I learned a very valuable lesson during that time and it has served me ever since.

I want to share it with you because I want you to pause and think about this the next time you experience a challenge, a difficulty or a problem in life, especially when you are tempted to blame everyone and everything around you.

Here is the lesson.

You always have a choice.

You see, I could have looked at that situation from a "Nail in My Coffin" perspective: ie "those people did me wrong and it's their fault," and "I'll never buy another stock again"

OR

I could have looked at it as a "Catalyst for Change" perspective. ie "I am responsible. I made the decisions, I didn't do my diligent research, I invested too much on my first trade, I will take a step back and re evaluate my approach next time."

Let me simplify it and break it down even further:

Problem: lost $29,600 in stock trade

My Choices:

Nail in Coffin = I am a Victim and I give my power away when I blame others

OR

Catalyst for Change = I emerge the Victor because I claim my power to change the present and the future by taking responsibility

You see, I could have easily put the blame on everyone else. And if I did that, I would never have learned the lesson. I would have never changed. Though it wasn't easy, after looking at it, I knew there were a number of things I could have done differently.

Whenever you focus blame outside of yourself, you give your power away. Whenever you take responsibility, you claim your ability to change, grow, and create different outcomes in the future.

I knew that despite the appearance of the circumstances, that I was responsible for that loss. I made a series of errors in judgment, as well intentioned as they were.

As long as you blame others outside yourself, you will not change. Nothing will change for you. You will be doomed to repeat the same mistakes.

You always have a choice.

Liberate yourself by taking responsibility for your actions, even when you can justify placing it outside yourself. Let your mistakes serve you. Learn from them, let them change you for the better. Let them empower you.

I turned one of my biggest mistakes into one of my greatest lessons and by taking 100% responsibility, I allowed it to serve me. I took back my power.

I used as a catalyst for positive change.

"Every problem contains within it the seed of an equal or greater opportunity. Not just some of the time, but all of the time." -Jill Koenig

The facts remained the same, I still lost $ 29,600. But it doesn't hurt anymore. My perspective on it changed.

It became a blessing that has served me many times over.

When you change the way you look at things, the things you look at change.

Live Your Dreams

Jill Koenig, the "Goal Guru" is America's Top Goal Strategist. A best selling Author, Coach and Motivational Speaker, she is an expert on the subjects of Goal Setting, Time Management and Business Success. Her Goal in life is to help you UNLEASH your untapped potential. Get your FREE Goal Setting CD at: http://www.GoalGuru.com

Media Requests: Jill Koenig is a dynamic high energy TV and radio guest available for interviews and corporate speaking engagements.

Mika Brzezinski Sets Paris Hilton On Fire

This story is entirely true. I swear that this did happen. In a parallel universe. And if you don't believe in parallel universes, you are a scientifically illiterate monkey and you should stop reading this article right now.

Okay, okay... I was only joking. As a theoretical physicist by training, I may be wrong about the monkey part (and may I suggest that you consult it with a zoologist to be perfectly sure about it), but the idea of parallel universes, as crazy as it sounds, may not be that crazy after all. Certainly not by scientific standards.

Now, in the Universe we happen to inhabit, also known as "the best of all possible worlds," the effect of Paris Hilton set on fire turned out to be pretty washed out. Fortunately for Paris... I am not so sure about the rest of the world, though.

In this Universe, Mika Brzezinski only attempted to set on fire a report about Paris Hilton release from prison having found it trash- rather than news-worthy. Since the lighter she was using refused to fully cooperate, she ended up tearing the report into pieces.

This simple act of journalist defiance against conveying trash information and, let's be perfectly honest here, some well calculated showmanship (or should we rather call it "showpersonship??") as well, made Mika Brzezinski an instant journalist superstar on YouTube.com and other hot Internet channels.

Nice job, Mika, although if I am to be totally honest, and with all due respect, this somewhat pales in comparison to what some Polish journalist, also a female (you male brownies take a note!), did some 17 years ago, when she publicly and demonstratively told the audience of TV news that she was quitting her job because she could not stand relaying the news the way her bosses insisted on. She then walked out of the studio. It was all live.

Mika Brzezinski is a daughter of Zbigniew Brzezinski, arguably the most influential Polish-American political strategist, a former member of the Carter administration.

For another, more interactive, version of this article, please see this page:
http://www.eminimethods.com/mika_paris.html

Waldemar Puszkarz, Ph.D., is a web veteran with 15 years of web surfing under his belt. By training, he is a theoretical physicist, but his interests are much broader than science and include trading financial markets, sports betting, poker, and researching online business opportunities. He is also an avid book reader and sports afficionado. Currently he is making his living mostly as a day trader. He has been in the trading trenches for almost a decade during which he has traded a variety of financial instruments. He is the owner and webmaster of Eminimethods.com (http://www.eminimethods.com) which provides free common sense trading education and simple trading systems for e-mini and stock markets as well as reviews of honest online business opportunities in Meet HOBO (http://www.eminimethods.com/HOBO.html) section of his site.

Pay Per Click Advertising Can Be Easy If You Have The Right Guide Book

Is Google Adwords giving you trouble? Are you having trouble trying to set up your Google Adwords campaign properly? Have you been advertising with Adwords for awhile now without having much success? Have you ever read a good Google Adwords guide book, preferably one by Perry Marshall? If not, what in the world are you thinking?

It's true that you can make an enormous amount of money by using Google Adwords, but you must learn what you're doing first. Just like anything else in life, this is a learning process. The rewards are great once you've learned the lesson and taken action, but you can easily lose your shirt if you don't find out the right way to do things first. Think about it like this, would you play the stock market without learning what you're doing first, or at least hiring someone who knows what they're doing? That would be a seriously ignorant maneuver, yet people do it with Google Adwords all the time. Actually, not just Google Adwords, but with other pay per click search engines also, like Yahoo and MSN.

The Perry Marshall Definitive Adwords Guide is the top-rated book on Google Adwords, without question. It was co-written by Bryan Todd who is one of Perry's top assistants and also a member of his coaching faculty. The book is 113 pages long and is updated every year at no extra charge. These guys live and breathe Google Adwords and they constantly test everything that they do in order to find better ways to beat the Adwords system. Those that own the book have a huge advantage over everyone else because they're reaping the rewards of all the hard work that these guys put in with the free updates.

If you haven't bought and read a good Google Adwords book, especially Perry Marshall's Definitive Guide, you're wasting your time, your money and your not seeing the total benefit you could be getting out of your Google Adwords campaigns. I highly recommend that you get more information about a good Google Adwords guidebook.

Does Pay Per Click Advertising Have You Confused? Find Out Important Things That You MUST Know About These Topics And More By Going Right Now To PayPerClickFirm.net or by clicking on Google Adwords Guide Book. Joe Stewart is a Webmaster and Internet Marketer That Uses Pay Per Click Advertising And Search Engine Optimization To Advertise Online.

Trading Stuff For Free Vs. Free Stuff

Swaptree
Swaptree is a great service that I came across recently. It lets you trade books, music, movies, and games with others for free. You tell the system what you have, and it figures out what you can get in exchange. Note that it supports one-for-one item trades only, but allows for three-way trades.

How Swaptree works
Swaptree does a good job laying out the ground rules simply and clearly. There is also a wonderful walkthrough here. Ebay users will find a similar buyer/seller rating system that they are accustomed to.

The site has been out of public beta since July 4th (so its no longer invite only) and seems to be gaining steam. Way to go, guys!

Freecycle
Freecycle would be a good alternative if you were looking for an item outside of books, music, movies, and games - such as apparel, computers, and furniture. The concept is that someone wants to get rid of something, while another person want s the same item. Rather than throwing the item away or trying to sell for a minimal amount, the item is given away, provided that a local person comes to pick it up.

The Freecycle website - http://www.freecycle.org contains a short animation of how Freecycling works as well.

At the time of this posting, there are a total of 4,041 Freecycle communities throughout the world. Chances are, you are either in or near one of them.

See this article's original posting at:
http://nowsourcing.wordpress.com/2007/07/10/trading-stuff-for-free-vs-free-stuff

Another quality article by NowSourcing.

To see more of my articles, please visit http://nowsourcing.wordpress.com

What Is A Bull Stock Market And Bear Stock Market

Unless you are involved in the stock market, or understand the jargon you may not understand what the term bull market or a bear market means. Stock prices are reflected in what is known as the financial market trends. These trends can best be demonstrated in a price chart and the purpose is to pick the best investment and trading opportunities. You may ask what drives these trends. Buyers and sellers are the driving factor, they are also known as the bulls and the bears.

When we say that it is a bull or bear stock market we are talking about the driving force behind the market. The bulls are the buyers so that would make the sellers the bears. Incidentally when we use the term bull or bear we could also be talking about specific securities and sectors.

A bull market is a market that is associated with investor confidence. As a result of this increase in confidence investors are more likely buy in anticipation of making a capital gain. The most memorable and longest running bull market was seen in the 1990s. This was the time when the U.S. and other global markets saw their fastest growth spurt ever.

Just to recap, in a bull stock market the investors are buying. They are looking for more ways to increase their capital gains. So then if it is a bear market, the opposite would be true. Investors will be more pessimistic about buying and are more inclined to sell their stocks to cut their losses. A bear stock market does not come about from a small decline, but a considerable drop in prices over a prolonged period of time. From 1930 to 1932 was probably the most infamous bear market in history. This bear market was the beginning of the Great Depression. There was a much less severe bear market from 1967 - 1983, which included the energy crises of the 1970s and the unemployment surge in the 1980s.

As we already stated a bear stock market does not come about as a result of a small dip in stock prices, it indicates sizable fall in prices over a prolonged period of time. It is most commonly accepted that in order for the stock market it to be considered a bear market there has to be a price fall of at least 20% in a key stock market index from a recent peak that happens over at least two months.

To summarize a bull stock market has investor looking to buy to increase their capital gains. They will be seeking out the best investment opportunities. A bear stock market has these same investors looking to sell their stocks so they can minimize their losses. Historically the U.S. has been a bull market. That is one of the factors why we have been considered the land of opportunity.

Check out the valuable information about Bull and Bear Stock Markets at http://www.stockinvestingforbeginner.com

Tips For Better Options Trading

If you trade, you may have heard of options. Trading options carries high risk and has many disadvantages for beginners and even seasoned traders. Therefore, it is wise to be cautious if you are considering options trading.

An option is a contract between two parties giving the taker or buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell shares at a specific price on or before a specific date. To have this right, the taker pays a premium to the writer or seller of the contract.

There are two types of options available: call options and put options.

Call options give the taker the right but not the obligation to buy the shares at a specific price on or before a specific date.

The put options give the taker the right but not the obligation to sell the shares at a specific price on or before a specific date. The taker of a put is only required to deliver the underlying shares if they exercise option.

There are a few advantages in option trading:

Put options allow you to hedge against a possible fall in the price of the shares you hold. You can consider taking it out as insurance against a loss in the share price.

By taking a call option, the purchase price for the shares is locked in. This gives the call option holder until the expiry date to decide whether he or she will or will not buy the shares. This is also applicable to the taker; he or she has to decide whether or not to sell the shares before the deadline.

The ease of trading in and out of an option position makes it possible to trade options with no intention of ever exercising them. If you expect the market to rise, you may want to buy call options, and if you are expecting a fall in the market, you may decide to buy put options. This means that you can sell the option prior to the expiry date to take a profit or limit a loss.

Options also allow you to build a diversified portfolio for a lower initial outlay than purchasing shares directly.

The income generation for options can get you profits over dividends by writing call options against your shares. By writing an option, you receive the option premium up front. While you get to keep the option premium, it is possible that you could be exercised against and have to deliver your shares to the taker at the exercise price. This strategy uses stock bought on margin.

By combining different options, or stocks with options, you can create a wide range of strategies.

You can earn extra income by writing options against shares you already own or are purchasing. This is one of the simplest and most rewarding strategies.

Using options gives you time to decide. Taking a call option can give you time to decide if you want to buy shares. You pay the premium, which is only a fraction of the price of the underlying shares.

The option then locks in a buying price for the shares if you decide to exercise. You then have until the expiry date of the option to decide if you want to buy the shares. This is the same as to the put option.

Keep in mind that, same as any other trades do not trade what you cannot afford to lose.

For more on Option Trading visit option-trading-expert.info. Susan also writes at Health and Fitness.

Investment VS Trading

Investment and trading both involve the purchase of assets in the hope that they will appreciate in value. However, there are significant differences in these contrasting approaches with the prime differentiator being the time frame involved.

Investment is something everyone should be involved in to some extent or another. Many do not consider themselves investors, but if you own (or are purchasing in mortgage) your own home or have a pension plan or insurance policy then you are an investor and your financial well being depends on the performance of stocks and/or real estate.

Trading is a minority activity seeking to derive profit (income) from the short term buying and selling of assets, or put simply selling higher than the buying price.

Investment is a long-term endeavor. It may be for life, as in providing a roof over ones head, or over many years, as in putting ones kids through college or providing an income in retirement.

On the other hand trading is relatively short-term, ranging from day-trading where positions are opened and closed within the space of a day up to holding them for a month or longer.

Investments usually consist of holding actual assets, eg stocks, bonds, real estate Trading can mean holding assets but also consists of devices such as short selling (selling an asset you dont have in the hope its price will fall), making use of margin (or leverage - ie trading with borrowed money), foreign currency (FOREX) trading, and more sophisticated vehicles such as options, CFDs (Contracts for Difference), spread betting etc.

Investment is concerned with gaining both from an increasing asset price and the income gained from holding the asset (interest, dividends, rent). Trading is primarily concerned with profiting from movements in the asset price.

Trading is essentially a form of gambling, though hopefully a more informed (and less random) kind than the roll of a dice or the spin of a roulette wheel.

Investors generally rely on fundamentals in choosing investments, ie they look at the global and national economy, whats happening in a particular sector, and at the prospects for the asset under consideration. Traders do the same, but they also rely on technical analysis (chartism) which attempts to predict future price movements by looking at graphs or charts of historic prices. Theres absolutely no logical reason this should work, but charts do perhaps give a picture of market psychology, and more importantly are followed by many and as such may become a kind of self-fulfilling prophesy. Technical analysis tends to be used most for i) short-term (day) trading and ii) optimizing entry and exit points (timing).

The key point is to know whether you are a trader or an investor. As weve said investing is something that should be done by just about everyone, trading certainly is not. If you do decide to become a trader, make sure it is a conscious and informed decision. Study loads, and do lots of paper trading (trading with virtual rather than real cash - there are lots of trading houses out there that will let you set up practice accounts for this purpose). Find a system that works FOR YOU, and stick to it along with disciplined risk and money management.

Johnny Finnis is editor of personalmoneymanagement101.com a simple and unbiased introduction to finance and investment for ordinary people to make the most of their money. Have your say on our blog

Monday, September 3, 2007

Trading Commodities - What Style Of Trading Matches Your Mental Make-Up? - PART 2

Matching your mental make-up to a method of trading is possibly the most important aspect of trading to get right. There are many traders who fail every year simply because they force themselves to do things they should not be doing. Read on to see why and how you can find out what trading style is best for you!

Professionals use their intuition all the time. A doctor uses his intuition when he makes a tough decision. He would have no intuition if he had not paid his dues learning and observing for years beforehand. The same goes for an electronics technician. He can look into a familiar piece of equipment, take some basic readings and give a pretty good guess where the trouble lies. Ask the doctor to do the technicians job and he is lost.

My point is, study hard to learn what creates a good turning point or opportunity in the S&P 500 futures market and then you will be able to recognize them in real time - intuitively. Some futures traders will never develop these skills no matter how hard they try, whereas others can do it with training. It requires focused analytical skills, a patient temperament and most importantly, the aggressiveness to step up to the plate and put real money on the line.

Few commodity traders ever get all three skills firing on all cylinders. We need ALL three working all the time, believe me. Some say musicians are well suited for spotting market patterns learned from playing pieces over and over to perfection. Some say that women are well suited for intuition. And maybe yoga masters are well suited for the patience needed to wait for the best market set ups. So would an aggressive female musician who practiced yoga be a good trader? I would put my money on her to be a successful commodity trader verses someone who had none of these inherent skills.

Why do I believe this? Many times Ive been right on the mark by calling a market turn but hesitated and just couldnt pull the trigger. (Lacked confidence and aggressiveness) Or lost my patience and started taking what I call drunken sailor trades. (These are commodity trades that have no rhyme or reason - all emotional). Or I had the aggressiveness to trade that session, but the market just had no opportunities that day or maybe I just didnt SEE them.

Knowing when NOT to trade because you are not firing on all three cylinders is as important as knowing WHEN to trade. How easy it is to wash away recent profits on a bad day! And, conversely, profits can come easily on those days when everything just clicks. Weve all tasted these times.

As once said: Beware of that man, for he knows himself well. Know yourself well, your strengths and especially weaknesses, and gain an edge on the competition.

Good Trading!

There is substantial risk of loss trading futures and options and may not be suitable for all types of investors. Only risk capital should be used.

Thomas Cathey directs the managed futures division of Thomas Capital Management, LLC. Get FREE, his complete 44+ lesson, "Thomas Commodity Trading Course" and weekly TimeLine newletter by visiting: http://www.thomascapitalmanagement.com/commodity/welcome.htm The course is brand new and fun reading... a "street-wise" trading e-course. Visit the main Thomas Capital Management trading website at: http://www.ThomasCapitalManagement.com

So, Where Does All The Money Come From?

When you talk about Capital Homesteading credit the first question that always pops up is, "Where does all the money come from?" The answer is, it comes from the government of the people, by the people AND for the people, via the Federal Reserve (which has the right to extend credit as it sees fit). And yes, it does create (FHA like) red ink, but the red ink

(a) is not repaid from taxes, savings or wages,

(b) has a well defined, systematic exit plan of how to get in and get out (kind of like Operation Desert Storm) of that credit/loan

(c) it has a productive purpose.

So the real issue IS NOT where does all the money come from? The answer to that question is always the same. The real issue is whats the difference between PRODUCTIVE and DESTRUCTIVE uses of credit, and their effects on individual citizens, and the economy in general. So let's talk about the ways that credit can be used productively, and the ways that credit can be used destructively. Lets talk about how we can embrace the first, and eliminate the second.

Many people, for example, are convinced that a formal college education is the key to economic success in the modern age, so they're perfectly willing to help their kids pay for (often in the form of extended credit) that college education because Mom and Dad see it as investment in their kid's future...a PRODUCTIVE investment.

The Big Bank however, sees this college education in a different light when they extend (consumer) credit card offers to college kids across the country. So, what does Joe College purchase with that credit card? Boom boxes, CDs, DVDs, MP3s, video games, gas for daddys car, a six pack of beer for this weekends party, and other essential items required by the modern collegiate learning experience.

Big Bank And Joe College VS
Hey, dont get me wrong here. Big Bank knows exactly what its doing when it extends that credit offer to Joe College. Theyve carefully studied all the data, and theyve concluded, based on empirical evidence, that this particular marketing strategy is profitable for them. In other words, before they ever extend this credit offer to Joe College, they know that they will make their money back and lots moreor else they would never do it. Its a good bet. Its just as simple as that.

Capital Homesteading And Johnny Paycheck To Paycheck
Lets contrast Joe Colleges credit offer from Big Bank with the concept of extending a Capital Homesteading credit to Johnny Paycheck To Paycheck. What youll find is that the credit extended to JPTP cannot be spent on non-productive consumer crap. On the contrary, it must be spent on a well-vetted, productive capital (i.e. stock) purchase, the kind that the conservative local banker (not some wild, dice rolling venture capitalist) would advise his local bank to purchase.

The loan will be repaid not from taxes, and not from JPTP's wages or his salary, but from tax deductible dividends generated by the productive capital (i.e. stock) purchase. This will take an average of seven years to pay off, at which point JPTP becomes the proud owner of a real live piece of the rock. He becomes a capitalist.

If done annually over a lifetime, JPTP will generate an earned income to augment his wage or salary. He will also create a privately owned and controlled nest egg that will free him from ever having to depend on the government (i.e. social security, medicare, medicaid) to take care of himself and his family...which by the way, will also unload the government and justify TAX REDUCTIONS!.

Now like the boys from Big Bank, the local banker will have studied all the data and will have a real good idea what the odds of repayment are going to be, before he ever advises JPTP to place his investment bet. Actually the odds of repayment are much better with JPTPs Capital Homesteading credit than with Joe Colleges consumer credit.

Consumer Crap VS
There is one much more important difference however. The difference is that the purpose of Big Banks Joe College marketing strategy is to get JC hooked on the consumer mentality of easy (buy now pay later) money, and in the long run, to program him to believe that its completely normal to exchange his long term financial freedom for immediate gratification when it comes to consumer crap that he wants to have right now. Once hes fully programmed, Big Bank will wrap its financial tentacles around Joe College, who will then be transformed into the Big Bank's profit producing mule for years to come.

A Legitimate Piece Of The Rock
On the other hand, the Capital Homesteading credit, as weve already said, must go toward winning Johnny a piece of Americas growing economic pie, a piece of the rock that will predictably pay itself off, and in the process, begin to transform Johnny Paycheck into a capital owner who has a vested interest in the future of a particular company, in a particular community, in a particular county, in a particular state, located in the United States of America. So what we're talking about here is a DISTRUCTIVE (consumer) use of credit, compared to a PRODUCTIVE (capital homesteading) use of credit.

Let Freedom Ring
And as his productive piece of the rock grows year after year, JPTP will begin to feel the chains of his wage slavery loosen, and the bell of financial freedom ring louder and louder, until he's finally able to sing right along with Martin Luther King himself, free at last, free at last, thank God, Im free at last.

In the lobrng term big picture the Capital Homesteading strategy is specifically designed to create a nation spilling over with more and more capitalists who are actively participating on the ownership side of the free market economy, instead of a nation spilling over with more and more workers who are effectively cut off and alienated from the modern economic miracle known as the free enterprise system. The Big Bank strategy is specifically designed to create programmed automatons who unknowingly trade their financial freedom and future in for consumer crap, and who, as the result can be easily controlled and dictated to by the captains of industry from their high rise corporate suites up on Wall Street.

Its Our Choice
So I guess the choice comes down todo you really want to underwrite a free enterprise economic system, and transform America into a real capitalist nation chock full of real live capitalists? Or do you prefer to create a nation thats primarily full of workers (sounds communistic/capitalistic to me), who are systematically required to compete tooth and nail with each other, driving wages lower and lower (lets become a third world nation ASAP, or redistribute from top to bottom in order to temporarily prevent the economy from falling flat on its face!) so that the captains of industry can oversee their respective monopolies without really having to concern themselves with legitimate competition. That way they can all get together, buy out the little guys, fix prices, fix elections, smoke big Cuban stogies, drive their fancy cars, and generally live off the fat of the land. Yes Tonto, I guess you could turn the clock all the way back to them thrillin days of yesteryear, if you wanted to. But do you really want to?

P.SViva Las Vegas!
I have one final thought to offer here. If all those incredibly bright and intelligent, bureaucratic bean counters in Washington, DC are simply unable to recognize a good bet when they see one, then I know there are plenty of folks out in Las Vegas who dont suffer from that same moronic, myopic malady. I mean its their business to assess the odds accurately, facilitate the bet, and they make lots of money in the process. They do it every day of the year, and twice on Sunday.

Yah sure, I know youre going to tell me that those folks out in Vegas are all crooks. But that comment simply begs the question. How does that make them any different than the crooks in DC? Now, if youre unable to come up with a believable answer to that last question, I suggest that we consider taking bids from both DC and Vegas. If Vegas wins, well just call itoutsourcing.

Joe L. Buckett is a Chicago based, freelance writer who in 2004, was our nations first virtual candidate for the Presidency of the United States. If you're interested in learning more about Joe Lunch Bucketts common sense solutions to 21st century problems, ranging from the war in Iraq, to Social Security, and Immigration, check out his book entitled "The Big Idea," which you can order on either Barnes and Noble or Amazon.

Forex Trading Advice Don't Take Any Forex Advice Until You Read This

Would you take driving lessons from someone who had never driven in their lives?

Of course you wouldnt!

With forex trading advice people take advice from people who have never traded and never question it, lose their money and are surprised.

If you are taking forex advice via signals or a system there is only one criteria you need to judge the advice on:

A real time track record.

Thats real money, made in the market over a 3 year period or longer.

It does not guarantee you will make money of course, but if I follow advice I like to know the forex trading advice I have taken, has made money and the logic is soundly based.

Forget hypothetical track records.

Anyone can make a profit if they know what the prices did!

Ever seen a hypothetical back tested system that didnt?

My six year old boy could make a profit that way, but not sure I would trust him to trade for me!

I am a trader of 20 years and I see e-books and makings telling me I can easily make 90% accurate trades or 100 pips a day!

Please dont insult my intelligence.

I know making money is not easy in anything and that includes forex trading.

Use common sense!

If forex trading advice looks to good to be true it probably is.

Use common sense and dont get blinded by greed or an easy way to make money you will lose.

Only take forex trading advice from vendors who provide the following:

A real time track record and the comfort of a money back guarantee.

There are plenty out there giving good solid advice that can help you make forex profits, but take a bit of time to seek them out.

Dont fall for the scammers in forex trading advice offering you easy ways, or guaranteed profits. You will lose.

Only a small minority of traders make money and there not the above.

They will simply make money out of you from selling advice that will lose you money.

Accept this fact:

Forex markets can and do make money and there is good advice out there but forex trading makes few traders rich over night.

Forex trading is a long term solid way to make money and good profits.

Make sure you dont fall for the hype of the huge amount of forex advice sellers on the net who have never traded in their lives.

No real track record you know what to do now

In conclusion with forex advice to separate the scammers from the people who make money, get the real time track record.

Thats it - Enough said.

MORE FREE BETTER TRADING INFO

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